The Cleveland Indians will play host to the Houston Astros at Progressive Field. ATTSN Southwest is in line to broadcast this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Cleveland (+175) is the big home-team underdog against Houston (-185) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s runline odds sit at -130 for picking the Astros -1.5 runs and +110 for the Indians +1.5.
The Indians are 63-44 straight up (SU) and 53-53 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, gaining 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.9 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Astros are 69-40 SU and have gone 57-51 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 7.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 2.6 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 46-56-4 in 2019. Astros games have gone under 58 times, gone over 47 times and pushed on three instances.
Gerrit Cole will get the start for the Stros. The right-handed Cole (12-5, 2.94 ERA) has recorded 212 strikeouts in 143.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Cleveland this year.
The Indians are sending Danny Salazar to the mound. This game represents the first MLB start of the year for the righty Salazar.
Cleveland’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.24 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
Cleveland’s offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .276/.330/.517 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana have led the Indians’ hitters this year. Lindor is slashing .303/.352/.522 with 18 home runs, 43 RBIs, 59 runs and 17 stolen bases, while Santana is batting .279 with 23 homers, 60 RBIs and 70 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.75 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.42 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.87, along with a WHIP of 1.09 and a K/9 of 9.69.
Astros hitters have slashed .270/.349/.475 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Houston’s offensive production has been fueled by left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel. Brantley is slashing .321/.382/.516 with 16 home runs, 61 RBIs and 59 runs scored. Gurriel (.299/.333/.523) has produced 20 homers, 68 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Astros have lost 5.3 units and are 41-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 40 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 7.0 units and are 33-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, compared to 42 which went under the total.
Astros vs. Indians MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Houston has recorded 18 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cleveland has 19 XBH over its last five.
- The Astros have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Astros have an OPS of .824 this season and an OPS of .799 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .753 overall and .759 against righties.
- Cleveland has recorded 25.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.
