Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick

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The Atlanta Braves will play host to the Cincinnati Reds at SunTrust Park. This NL matchup will begin at 7:20 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the game.

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (-140) is favored over Cincinnati (+130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -170 for betting the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Braves -1.5.

The Reds have gone 50-56 SU this year and are 59-46 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, losing 4.3 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 5.0 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 64-45 SU and 52-56 ATS. They’ve gained 10.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.5 units ATS.

Braves games have an over/under record of 55-47-6 in 2019. Cincinnati has been a great under bet with a total record of 39-62-4.

Anthony DeSclafani will get the nod for the visiting Reds. The right-handed DeSclafani is 6-5 with a 4.01 ERA and 110 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Braves will put the ball in the left hand of Max Fried (11-4, 4.21 ERA, 1.41 WHIP), who’s got 108 punchouts and 34 walks. Fried did not re a start against the Reds in 2018.

Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.43, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

Atlanta’s offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 7.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .301/.357/.560 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Freddie Freeman has helped lead the Braves’ offense this season with 25 home runs, 82 RBIs and 82 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.85 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.71 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.29, along with a K-per-9 of 9.67.

Reds hitters have slashed .246/.317/.424 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Eugenio Suarez has led Cincinnati’s offense. Suarez is hitting .258/.335/.531 with 29 home runs, 71 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

The Braves are coming off of a 5-4 win against the Nationals, while the Reds just got a 4-1 victory over the Pirates.

Reds vs. Braves Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • The Reds have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 16 over their last 10.
  • The Reds have a total OPS of .741 this season and an OPS of .759 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .797 overall and .793 against lefties.
  • Cincinnati has recorded 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
  • The Reds have won four of their last five games SU.