Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick

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Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles will be taking the field against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park in a Tuesday showdown. This interleague matchup will get going at 3:40 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego to catch the action.

Baltimore Orioles at San Diego Padres Odds

The Padres are 50-56 straight up (SU) and 47-58 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 9.9 units for moneyline bettors and 16.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Orioles are 35-71 SU and have gone 46-59 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 10.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 18.9 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 48-50-7 in 2019. Baltimore has been a decent over bet with a total record of 52-46-7.

Tom Eshelman will get the start for Baltimore. Eshelman is 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Padres are planning to start righty Dinelson Lamet (0-2, 5.00 ERA), who has 25 strikeouts and seven walks to his credit as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Lamet did not record any MLB appearances in 2018.

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.44 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.96, along with a WHIP of 1.39 and a K-per-9 of 8.64.

The Orioles offense has slashed .244/.306/.406 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is hitting .280/.341/.532 with 24 home runs, 53 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Villar has a .263 average with 13 homers, 47 RBIs, 69 runs and 22 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 4.49 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

The San Diego offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .227/.300/.423 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is hitting .283/.330/.444 with 15 home runs, 69 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .276/.348/.509 with 25 homers, 66 RBIs and 61 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 10.3 units and are 30-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve hit the under against ies.

Orioles at Padres Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Each teams has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests.
  • Baltimore has recorded 25.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 28.4 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 15 over their last 10.