Starling Marte and the slumping Pittsburgh Pirates will be hitting the diamond against their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park in a Tuesday night game. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on ATPT and FSOH.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Bookmakers have Pittsburgh (+130) as the underdog to Cincinnati (-140). The total currently stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can play the over for -120 and the under for even money (+100). This game currently has a runline of Pirates +1.5 (-170) and Reds -1.5 (+150).
The Reds are 58-45 against the spread (ATS), but just 49-55 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 5.0 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Pirates have gone 46-60 SU this year and are 53-52 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 5.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.1 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.
Cincinnati games have had an over/under record of 37-62-4 in 2019. The Pirates have been a solid over bet with a total record of 58-41-6.
Joe Musgrove will get the nod for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Musgrove (7-9, 4.29 ERA) has racked up 100 strikeouts in 115.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are turning to righty Tanner Roark (6-6, 3.95 ERA), who’s got 106 strikeouts and 34 walks as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Roark is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.15 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.42 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.77, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K/9 of 9.48.
The Pirates offense has slashed .267/.325/.427 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Outfielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell continue to lead Pittsburgh’s offense. Marte is hitting .285/.324/.500 with 18 home runs, 61 RBIs, 71 runs and 14 stolen bases. Bell is hitting .284 with 27 homers, 86 RBIs and 73 runs scored.
For the home team, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 3.83 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.23 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 50 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.84 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.93.
Cincinnati’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .268/.330/.409 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ batters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto. Suarez is slashing .257/.334/.528 with 28 home runs, 69 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while Votto’s line is .263/.350/.398 with nine homers, 32 RBIs and 53 runs.
The Pirates have gained 0.7 units and are 42-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, as opposed to 33 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 5.2 units and are 43-37 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under.
Pirates vs. Reds Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in just two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have dropped 11 of their last 12 games SU.
- Pittsburgh fielders have five errors over the last five games, compared to two errors for Cincinnati over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .778 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .739 overall and .720 against righties.
