The Milwaukee Brewers are seeking their fourth straight victory as they play host to the Chicago Cubs at Miller Park. The game gets going at 2:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on WLS and FSWI.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-110) is favored over Chicago (+100) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 10 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Cubs +1.5 runs (-210) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+175).
The Cubs are 55-49 SU and have gone 49-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 56-50 SU and 46-59 ATS. They’ve lost 5.4 units for moneyline bettors and 16.7 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 48-53-4 in 2019. Chicago has an over/under record of 49-48-6.
Jose Quintana will get the start for Chicago. The left-handed Quintana is 8-7 with a 4.42 ERA and 95 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with nine strikeouts and a 10.24 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Zach Davies (8-3, 3.17 ERA, 1.36 WHIP), who has 75 strikeouts and 36 walks. Davies is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.75 ERA across two starts against Chicago this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.77, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 47 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.67.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .233/.361/.396 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is hitting .338/.436/.709 with 36 home runs, 79 RBIs, 78 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .253 with seven homers, 35 RBIs, 55 runs and 12 steals.
For the visitors, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.91 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.27, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
Cubs hitters have slashed .252/.334/.450 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Baez is slashing .285/.315/.543 with 25 home runs, 68 RBIs and 71 runs scored. Bryant (.298/.404/.556) has produced 21 homers, 51 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 1.6 units and are 41-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.7 units and are 13-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 18 that went under.
Cubs vs. Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Cubs have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Cubs have a total OPS of .784 this season and an OPS of .805 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .781 overall and .784 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has recorded 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
- The Cubs have lost five of their last six games SU.
