DJ LeMahieu and the New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in a Saturday showdown. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the first pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds
Las Vegas has Boston (-125) as the favorite over New York (+115). The total currently stands at 11.5 runs and bettors can play the over for -105 and the under for -115. There’s a runline of Yankees +1.5 (-180) and Red Sox -1.5 (+160) for this matchup.
The Red Sox are 58-47 straight up (SU) and 45-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.7 units for moneyline bettors and 20.0 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Yankees are 66-37 SU and have gone 61-41 against the spread. Overall, the team’s gained 12.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.9 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Boston games have a 60-41-3 over/under record in 2019. Yankees games have gone over 55 times, gone under 43 times and pushed on four instances.
Southpaw CC Sabathia is projected to start for the visiting Yankees. Sabathia (5-5, 4.50 ERA) has racked up 79 strikeouts in 85 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox will put the ball in the left hand of Eduardo Rodriguez (12-4, 4.10 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), who has 126 strikeouts and 41 walks. Rodriguez is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA in one start against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.72 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.83, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 10.00.
Yankees hitters have slashed .270/.346/.473 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is hitting .332/.382/.517 with 15 home runs, 71 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Torres (.294/.360/.511) has produced 20 homers, 55 RBIs and 63 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.70, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 10.7 K/9. In 50 games against divisional opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 4.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.56.
The Boston hitters have put up 5.8 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 9.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .335/.371/.649 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the way for the Red Sox offense this year. Devers is slashing .326/.378/.574 with 21 home runs, 82 RBIs, 83 runs and eight steals, and Bogaerts has put up a line of .314/.398/.575 with 23 homers, 80 RBIs and 83 runs.
The Yankees have lost 4.6 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 11.1 units and are 11-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve cashed the under.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- New York has recorded 30 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Boston has 35 XBH over its last five.
- The Red Sox have won four of their last five games SU.
- New York has recorded 30.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 34.8 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Yankees have an OPS of .818 this season and an OPS of .755 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .822 overall and .773 against southpaws.
