The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on their division rival Milwaukee Brewers in a Wednesday showdown. Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast the action and the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (receiving -155 odds) is favored against Cincinnati and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -150 for picking the Reds +1.5 runs and +130 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 53-50 straight up (SU) and 46-56 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 5.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.7 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 46-53 SU and have gone 55-43 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 3.6 units ATS.
Brewers games have a 47-51-4 over/under record in 2019. The Reds have been a strong under bet with a total record of 35-59-4.
The right-handed Lucas Sims is the projected starter for the visiting Reds. Sims is 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Brewers are countering with Jhoulys Chacin (3-10, 5.67 ERA). Chacin has 75 strikeouts and 38 walks, along with a 1.53 WHIP. Chacin is 1-1 with 19 strikeouts and a 5.06 ERA over three starts against Cincinnati this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.78, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 44 games against NL Central foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.99.
Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .271/.358/.475 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is hitting .335/.435/.711 with 35 home runs, 77 RBIs, 77 runs and 23 stolen bases, while the line for Moustakas stands at .266/.335/.542 with 26 homers, 60 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.70 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.81 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.26, along with a K-per-9 of 9.80.
The Reds offense has slashed .245/.316/.423 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and outfielder Yasiel Puig have led Cincinnati’s offense. Suarez is hitting .258/.338/.533 with 27 home runs, 67 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Puig is hitting .262/.311/.496 with 22 homers, 59 RBIs, 49 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Reds have lost 6.3 units and are 40-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 4.2 units and are 33-39 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 37 of those games, compared to 33 that went under the total.
Reds at Brewers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in just two of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Reds have a team OPS of .739 this season and an OPS of .719 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .781 overall and .782 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has posted 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.8 over its last five.
- Each team has hit 15 home runs over its last 10 games.
