The Detroit Tigers are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Comerica Park. This interleague matchup will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Detroit to catch the game.
Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers Odds
Philadelphia (-145) is coming into this one as the favorite over Detroit (+135) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 10.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +100 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -120 for the Tigers +1.5 runs.
The Tigers are 30-66 straight up (SU) and 37-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 23.9 units for moneyline bettors and 27.6 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Phillies have gone 53-48 SU this year and are 47-53 ATS. In total, the club has lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Neither team has been an obvious over/under play this year. Tigers games have a 45-44-6 over/under record so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 47-49-4.
Vince Velasquez is getting the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Velasquez is 2-5 with a 4.87 ERA and 70 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers are putting the ball in the right hand of Jordan Zimmermann (0-7, 7.51 ERA, 1.69 WHIP), who has 40 strikeouts and 19 walks this season. Zimmermann hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.
Detroit’s pitching staff has yielded 5.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.21, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 5.04 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .221/.267/.374 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Tigers’ hitters have been led by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is slashing .285/.342/.483 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while Cabrera is hitting .279 with five homers, 37 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.53 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.15 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.79, along with a K/9 of 9.03.
Phillies hitters have slashed .242/.322/.416 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production has been powered by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura, who’ve collectively swatted 17 home runs. Hernandez is hitting .275/.325/.397 with seven home runs, 42 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Segura is hitting .273/.317/.430 with 10 homers, 43 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 4.3 units and are 36-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 34 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 23.4 units and are 28-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 33 of those games, compared to 39 that went under the total.
Phillies vs. Tigers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in just two of Detroit’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit 12 over their last 10.
- The Phillies have a total OPS of .737 this season and an OPS of .729 against right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .677 overall and .667 against righties.
- Detroit has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.
- The Phillies have won four of their last five games SU.
