The St. Louis Cardinals will head east to Great American Ball Park to face their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio.
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (-120) is favored against St. Louis (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Cardinals +1.5 runs (-190) and Reds -1.5 runs (+165).
The Reds are 53-39 against the spread (ATS), but only 43-50 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 2.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 6.5 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Cardinals are 48-46 SU and have gone 46-47 ATS. In total, the club has lost 10.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.6 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 32-56-4 so far in 2019. The Cardinals have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-48-7.
The right-handed Dakota Hudson will get the start for the visiting Cardinals. Hudson is 8-4 with a 3.48 ERA and 73 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).
The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Tanner Roark (5-6, 3.99 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), who’s got 95 strikeouts and 31 walks this season. Roark is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.75 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 42 games against NL Central foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.78 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.63.
Cincinnati’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .310/.374/.567 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and right fielder Yasiel Puig have led the charge for the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is slashing .246/.323/.497 with 23 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Puig’s line is .259/.305/.500 with 22 homers, 57 RBIs, 45 runs and 13 steals.
In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.91, along with a K-per-9 of 10.25.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .243/.319/.400 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
St. Louis’ offensive production has been powered by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong. Goldschmidt is slashing .251/.341/.433 with 18 home runs, 43 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while DeJong (.249/.331/.423) is up to 13 homers, 37 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Cardinals have lost 6.0 units and are 38-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 4.0 units and are 38-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, compared to 42 that went under.
Cardinals vs. Reds Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- St. Louis has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Cincinnati has 26 XBH over its last five.
- The Cardinals have a team OPS of .719 this season and an OPS of .718 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .725 overall and .700 versus righties.
- The Cardinals have won four of their last five games SU while the Reds have lost three of their last four.
- St. Louis has posted 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.0 over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 11 over their last 10.
