The Boston Red Sox are set to play host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will be airing the action and the game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds
The Blue Jays are 36-61 SU and are 45-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 11.7 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 52-44 SU and 41-54 ATS. They’ve lost 17.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 55-37-3 so far in 2019. Blue Jays games have gone over 47 times, gone under 46 times and pushed on three occasions.
Southpaw Thomas Pannone is projected to start for the visiting Blue Jays. Pannone (2-3, 6.18 ERA) has recorded 40 strikeouts in 39.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 7.71 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Chris Sale (3-9, 4.27 ERA), who’s got 160 strikeouts and 27 walks, along with a 1.10 WHIP. Sale is 0-2 with 16 strikeouts and a 7.98 ERA across three starts against Toronto this year.
As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 4.70 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 10.7 K/9. In 41 games against AL East foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 4.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.71.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.6 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .293/.381/.462 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is hitting .326/.380/.558 with 18 home runs, 70 RBIs, 73 runs and eight stolen bases, while Bogaerts is hitting .313 with 21 homers, 74 RBIs and 74 runs.
For the visiting squad, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.47 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 7.18 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.30, along with a WHIP of 1.54.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .233/.301/.411 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk continue to lead Toronto’s offense. Galvis is slashing .268/.307/.452 with 15 home runs, 46 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Grichuk is slashing .235/.295/.421 with 16 homers, 43 RBIs and 43 runs scored.
The Blue Jays have gained 4.2 units and are 17-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against lefties.
Blue Jays at Red Sox MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Toronto has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Boston has 19 XBH over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Blue Jays have a total OPS of .712 this season and an OPS of .712 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .813 overall and .747 against lefties.
- Boston has posted 28.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26.6 over its last five.
