The Minnesota Twins are playing host to the New York Mets at Target Field. SportsNet New York will be televising this interleague matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
New York (receiving +160) is the underdog to Minnesota (-170) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 10.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at -135 for picking the Mets +1.5 runs and +115 for the Twins -1.5 runs.
The Mets have gone 43-51 SU this year and are 43-50 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.8 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 58-35 SU and 52-40 ATS. The team’s gained 18.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.2 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Minnesota games have an over/under record of 45-42-5 so far in 2019. The Mets have been a great over bet with a total record of 52-33-8.
Southpaw Jason Vargas is projected to start for New York. Vargas is 3-5 with a 4.23 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 36.00 ERA against Minnesota this year.
The Twins are handing the ball to lefty Martin Perez (8-3, 4.26 ERA), who’s got 85 strikeouts and 40 walks, along with a 1.37 WHIP. Perez is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA against New York this year.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.73, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters are putting up 5.6 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .233/.310/.389 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ batters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Max Kepler. Polanco is slashing .307/.365/.503 with 13 home runs, 44 RBIs and 58 runs scored, and Kepler is hitting .260 with 23 homers, 60 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.46 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.46, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.29.
The Mets offense has slashed .254/.327/.429 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso, who have combined to launch 38 home runs. McNeil is slashing .348/.408/.511 with eight home runs, 38 RBIs and 45 runs scored. Alonso (.272/.368/.612) is up to 30 homers, 69 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 1.5 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 2.4 units and are 13-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, compared to seven which went under the total.
Mets at Twins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- New York has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Minnesota has 15 XBH over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Mets have a total OPS of .756 this season and an OPS of .801 against left-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .831 overall and .860 against southpaws.
- New York has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.
