The San Diego Padres will do battle against the Miami Marlins in a Wednesday showdown. Fox Sports San Diego will be televising this NL matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+145) is stepping into this one as an underdog to San Diego (-155) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. The game’s current runline odds sit at -110 for betting the Padres -1.5 runs and -110 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Padres have gone 45-49 SU this year and are 41-52 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.6 units for moneyline bettors and 16.4 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 35-57 SU and 45-46 ATS. They’ve lost 3.2 units for moneyline bettors and 10.7 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 40-45-6 so far in 2019. The Padres have an over/under record of 45-41-7.
The right-handed Chris Paddack will get the start for San Diego. Paddack is 5-4 with a 2.84 ERA and 87 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Marlins will send righty Trevor Richards (3-10, 4.18 ERA) to the mound. Richards has 88 strikeouts and 45 walks to his name, along with a 1.34 WHIP. Richards is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.93, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.95 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Miami offense is putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .284/.349/.479 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by first baseman Miguel Rojas and second baseman Starlin Castro. Rojas is hitting .293/.348/.368 with 94 hits, 29 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Castro’s line is .252/.278/.350 with six homers, 38 RBIs and 25 runs.
In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.45 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.06 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.96, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 9.86.
The Padres offense has slashed .242/.309/.429 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is hitting .282/.329/.436 with 13 home runs, 63 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .269/.340/.510 with 23 homers, 62 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 4.0 units and are 33-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 3.0 units and are 30-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 27 of those games, compared to 36 which went under the total.
Padres at Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- San Diego has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Miami has 16 XBH over its last five.
- The Padres have a total OPS of .737 this season and an OPS of .724 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .666 overall and .658 versus righties.
- San Diego has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.
- The Padres have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
