Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick

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The Toronto Blue Jays will face off against their division rival Boston Red Sox in a Wednesday showdown. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to New England Sports Network to catch the game.

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds

Toronto (+225) is the underdog to Boston (-250) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 11 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (+100) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (-120).

The Blue Jays have gone only 36-60 SU this year and are 44-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.7 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 51-44 SU and 41-53 ATS. The team’s lost 15.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 17.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Boston games have an over/under record of 54-37-3 so far in 2019. Toronto has an over/under record of 46-46-3.

Aaron Sanchez will get the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Sanchez is 3-13 with a 6.22 ERA and 79 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).

The Red Sox are planning to start lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (10-4, 4.43 ERA), who’s got 116 punchouts and 34 walks, along with a 1.32 WHIP. Rodriguez is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.

Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.53 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 10.6 K/9. In 40 games against AL East opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 4.73 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.69.

The Boston hitters have put up 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .268/.358/.480 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Red Sox hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is hitting .322/.378/.546 with 17 home runs, 66 RBIs, 72 runs and eight stolen bases, while the line for Bogaerts stands at .312/.399/.575 with 21 homers, 74 RBIs and 74 runs.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.45 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 7.18 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.31, along with a WHIP of 1.54.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .234/.301/.410 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Toronto’s hitters have been paced by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is hitting .271/.310/.457 with 15 home runs, 46 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Grichuk (.237/.293/.425) is up to 16 homers, 43 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have gained 4.2 units and are 17-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 4.7 units and are 32-36 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.

Blue Jays at Red Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in only one of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have a team OPS of .711 this season and an OPS of .709 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .811 overall and .747 against southpaws.
  • Boston has posted 27.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.8 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 15 over their last 10.