Freddie Freeman and the surging Atlanta Braves will head north to take on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase this NL matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-115) is favored against Atlanta (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 10.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Braves +1.5 (-200) and Brewers -1.5 (+170).
The Braves have gone 57-37 SU this year and are 45-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.8 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 0.9 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 48-46 SU and 41-52 ATS. The team has lost 6.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.1 units ATS.
Brewers games have a 41-48-4 over/under record so far in 2019. The Braves have been a decent over bet with a total record of 49-38-6.
Max Fried will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The left-handed Fried is 9-4 with a 4.29 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are turning to righty Adrian Houser (2-3, 4.01 ERA), who’s got 47 strikeouts and 19 walks as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Houser hasn’t faced the Braves yet this year and did not re a start against them in 2018.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.43 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.76, along with a WHIP of 1.37.
The Braves offense has slashed .262/.338/.462 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr., who have combined to launch 47 home runs. Freeman is slashing .302/.387/.576 with 24 home runs, 71 RBIs and 71 runs scored. Acuna Jr. is hitting .291 with 23 homers, 55 RBIs, 71 runs and 14 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.71 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.63 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .280/.338/.495 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .330/.430/.708 with 32 home runs, 68 RBIs, 68 runs and 21 stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .252/.311/.356 with five homers, 31 RBIs, 49 runs and 11 stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 8.8 units and are 35-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 2.6 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in nine of those games, compared to 16 that went under.
Braves at Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in only two of Atlanta’s last seven outings.
- The Braves have won seven of their last eight games SU.
- Atlanta has recorded 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Braves have a total OPS of .800 this season and an OPS of .795 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .775 overall and .776 versus righties.
