Jorge Polanco and the surging Minnesota Twins will be hitting the diamond against their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field in a Sunday day game. Fox Sports North will televise the action and the opening pitch will be at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Bookmakers have Minnesota (+125) as the underdog to Cleveland (-135). You can play matchup’s total with current odds sitting at +105 for over 9 runs and -125 for under 9. This game currently has a runline of Twins +1.5 (-170) and Indians -1.5 (+150).
The Indians are 50-40 straight up (SU) and 44-45 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Twins have gone 58-33 SU this year and are 50-40 against the spread. In total, the club has accumulated 17.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.2 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Indians games have an over/under record of 39-47-3 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 45-40-5.
The right-handed Jose Berrios is the probable starter for the visiting Twins. Berrios is 8-5 with a 3.00 ERA and 104 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 0.66 ERA against Cleveland this year (two starts).
The Indians are handing the ball to righty Shane Bieber (8-3, 3.45 ERA), who’s got 141 strikeouts and 23 walks as well as a 1.01 WHIP. Bieber is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.74 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.29 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.21, along with a K/9 of 9.41.
Twins hitters have slashed .272/.338/.497 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and right fielder Max Kepler continue to lead Minnesota’s offense. Polanco is slashing .315/.371/.515 with 13 home runs, 44 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Kepler (.264/.336/.535) is up to 23 homers, 58 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.19, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.9. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 38 games against AL Central foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 4.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.05.
The Cleveland offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .294/.362/.565 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor have paced the Indians’ hitters this year. Santana is slashing .293/.412/.539 with 20 home runs, 53 RBIs and 61 runs scored, and Lindor’s line sits at .291/.350/.500 with 14 homers, 32 RBIs, 45 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Twins have gained 15.3 units and are 37-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 7.1 units and are 29-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 35 which went under the total.
Twins at Indians Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Minnesota has tallied 27 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cleveland has 23 XBH over its last five.
- The Twins have won four of their last five games SU.
- Cleveland has recorded 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.0 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 14 over their last 10.
- The Twins have an OPS of .835 this season and an OPS of .823 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .738 overall and .761 versus righties.
