The Milwaukee Brewers will look to avoid their fourth straight loss as they play host to the San Francisco Giants at Miller Park. This NL showdown is going to be nationally broadcasted on Fox and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-125) is favored against San Francisco (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-125 for the under and +105 for the over). The game’s runline odds stand at -180 for picking the Giants +1.5 runs and +160 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Giants have gone 42-48 SU this year and are 45-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 9.6 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 47-45 SU and 41-50 ATS. They’ve lost 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Brewers games have a 40-48-3 over/under record thus far in 2019. San Francisco has been a decent over bet with a total record of 47-37-5.
Madison Bumgarner will get the nod for the visiting Giants. The left-handed Bumgarner is 5-7 with a 4.03 ERA and 115 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are turning to righty Zach Davies (7-2, 3.07 ERA), who’s got 63 strikeouts and 30 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.38. Davies is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.80, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.52 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .242/.318/.466 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is hitting .330/.432/.709 with 31 home runs, 67 RBIs, 67 runs and 19 steals, while Moustakas is hitting .262 with 25 homers, 54 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.01 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.93, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K/9 of 9.02.
Giants hitters have slashed .230/.299/.389 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 7.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
San Francisco’s hitters have been paced by Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt. Pillar is slashing .256/.284/.435 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs, 47 runs and eight steals, while Belt is hitting .239/.365/.418 with 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
The Giants have gained 3.5 units and are 31-30 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.6 units and are 11-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 16 that went under the total.
Giants vs. Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Giants have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
- The Giants have an OPS of .687 this season and an OPS of .691 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .774 overall and .775 versus righties.
- San Francisco has recorded 27.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.
- The Giants have won seven of their last eight games SU while the Brewers have lost six of their last seven.
