Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies Free Pick

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The Colorado Rockies are facing off against the Cincinnati Reds at Coors Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be televised on either ATRM or FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

Colorado (-135) is hosting this one as the favorite against Cincinnati (+125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 13 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Runline odds sit at -170 for picking the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Rockies -1.5.

The Reds have gone 41-47 SU this year and are 48-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 1.4 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 45-45 SU and 46-43 ATS. They’ve gained 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.7 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Colorado games have had an over/under record of 45-38-6 so far in 2019. The Reds have been a great under bet with a total record of 30-53-4.

Tanner Roark is getting the nod for the Reds. The right-handed Roark (5-6, 3.51 ERA) has racked up 92 punchouts in 92.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 1.50 ERA and three strikeouts across six innings).

The Rockies are going with lefty Kyle Freeland (2-6, 7.13 ERA), who has 49 strikeouts and 25 walks, along with a 1.57 WHIP. Freeland only made one start against the Reds in 2018 (1-0, 4.05 ERA and seven strikeouts across six and 2-third innings).

Colorado’s pitchers have yielded 5.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.52, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Colorado offense is putting up 5.5 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .186/.244/.346 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led the way for the Rockies’ batters this year. Arenado is slashing .311/.376/.558 with 20 home runs, 67 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Blackmon is batting .326 with 20 homers, 57 RBIs and 67 runs.

For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.56 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.81 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.10, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

Reds hitters have slashed .234/.307/.405 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Cincinnati’s offensive production has been fueled by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto. Suarez is slashing .248/.325/.491 with 21 home runs, 55 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Votto (.264/.356/.406) is up to eight homers, 22 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

The Reds have gained 0.2 units and are 14-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 0.4 units and are 24-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 22 that went under the total.

Reds vs. Rockies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Cincinnati has tallied nine extra-base hits over its last five contests. Colorado has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • The Reds have a total OPS of .712 this season, including an OPS of .732 against left-handed pitchers. The Rockies’ OPS sits at .783 overall and .765 against southpaws.
  • Colorado has recorded 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 13.6 over its last five.