The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates in a Sunday showdown. The action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET and you can catch it on either ATPT or FSWI.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Milwaukee (-115) is favored over Pittsburgh (+105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 10 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Brewers -1.5 runs (+130) and Pirates +1.5 runs (-150).
The Brewers have gone 47-43 SU this year and are 40-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors and 13.1 units ATS. Milwaukee’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 43-45 SU and 46-41 ATS. The team’s gained 4.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.9 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have a 50-33-4 over/under record so far in 2019. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-48-3.
Chase Anderson will get the start for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Anderson (4-2, 4.31 ERA) has recorded 63 punchouts in 62.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 3.27 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (two starts).
The Pirates will put the ball in the right hand of Joe Musgrove (6-7, 4.13 ERA), who has 78 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Musgrove is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.
Pittsburgh’s pitchers have yielded 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.88, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.95 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 35 games against divisional foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 4.53 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.22.
The Pittsburgh hitters have produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .307/.361/.500 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
First baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Starling Marte have led the Pirates’ batters this year. Bell is hitting .304/.378/.654 with 27 home runs, 84 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .282/.325/.469 with 12 homers, 45 RBIs, 54 runs and 13 steals.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.82 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.74 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.34, along with a K-per-9 of 9.81.
The Brewers offense has slashed .245/.328/.443 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas, who have already combined to drive in 120 runs. Yelich is slashing .329/.433/.707 with 31 home runs, 67 RBIs, 66 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Moustakas is slashing .263/.332/.553 with 25 homers, 53 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 0.7 units and are 29-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 32 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 5.3 units and are 36-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve cashed the under.
Brewers at Pirates Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in three of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .771 this season and an OPS of .771 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .764 overall and .789 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has posted 17.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.