Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox will be taking on the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in a Sunday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Detroit will televise this AL matchup.
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Odds
The Tigers are only 28-56 straight up (SU) and 35-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.1 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Red Sox are 48-41 SU and have gone 37-51 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 16.9 units for moneyline bettors and 19.3 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven.
Tigers games have an over/under record of 38-40-5 thus far in 2019. The Red Sox have been a good over bet with a total record of 50-35-3.
Southpaw David Price is the projected starter for the visiting Red Sox. Price (6-2, 3.33 ERA) has recorded 89 punchouts in 78.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and five strikeouts over 6.1 innings).
The Tigers will turn to lefty Gregory Soto (0-2, 8.06 ERA), who has 16 strikeouts and 12 walks as well as a 1.88 WHIP. Soto is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Boston this year.
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.73 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.52 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.44, along with a WHIP of 1.31.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .273/.348/.462 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game this season, including 8.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Devers is slashing .328/.382/.554 with 16 home runs, 62 RBIs, 69 runs and eight steals. Bogaerts (.295/.385/.535) has produced 17 homers, 63 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have given up 5.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.92, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.9 K/9.
The Detroit offense has produced 3.6 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .287/.341/.482 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera have paced the Tigers’ offense this year. Castellanos is slashing .280/.340/.465 with nine home runs, 32 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Cabrera’s line is .305/.369/.401 with five homers, 36 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 10.9 units and are 8-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 0.0 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to four that’ve gone under.
Red Sox at Tigers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in six of Boston’s last seven contests.
- The Tigers have lost five of their last six games SU.
- Boston has posted 34.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 32.8 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Red Sox have a total OPS of .810 this season and an OPS of .752 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .678 overall and .701 against lefties.
