The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking the field against their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates in a Saturday matinee. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on either ATPT or FSWI.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Milwaukee (-110) is favored against Pittsburgh (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +135 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -155 for the Pirates +1.5 runs.
The Pirates are 42-45 straight up (SU) and 45-41 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 5.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.9 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Brewers have gone 47-42 SU this year and are 40-48 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 4.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 12.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have a 49-33-4 over/under record so far in 2019. Brewers games have gone under 48 times, gone over 37 times and pushed on three occasions.
Adrian Houser will get the nod for Milwaukee. The right-handed Houser (2-2, 3.26 ERA) has racked up 42 strikeouts in 38.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Dario Agrazal (1-0, 2.70 ERA), who’s got six strikeouts and three walks, along with a 1.40 WHIP. Agrazal hasn’t faced the Brewers yet this year and did not accrue any MLB appearances last season.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.91, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.99 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 34 games against NL Central foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 4.59 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.33.
The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .328/.376/.574 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte. Bell is hitting .308/.380/.662 with 27 home runs, 84 RBIs and 68 runs scored, and Marte’s line sits at .280/.324/.464 with 12 homers, 42 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.76 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.41.
The Brewers offense has slashed .246/.328/.443 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas, who’ve collectively belted 55 home runs. Yelich is hitting .325/.427/.705 with 31 home runs, 67 RBIs, 66 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Moustakas is slashing .262/.330/.546 with 24 homers, 52 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 0.7 units and are 29-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, as opposed to 32 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 6.3 units and are 35-30 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.
Brewers vs. Pirates MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in just one of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .772 this season and an OPS of .771 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .758 overall and .781 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has recorded 16.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
