Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies will be taking the field versus their NL East nemesis New York Mets at Citi Field in a Saturday showdown. The action can be viewed across the country on Fox. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Odds
Sportsbooks have Philadelphia (+135) as the underdog to New York (-145). The total currently stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can play the over for -105 and the under for -115. This game currently has a runline of Phillies +1.5 (-160) and Mets -1.5 (+140).
The Phillies are 46-42 SU and are 41-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.0 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 39-49 SU and 41-46 ATS. The team has lost 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 12.4 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 47-32-8 thus far in 2019. Phillies games have gone under 42 times, gone over 41 times and pushed on four occasions.
Jake Arrieta will get the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Arrieta is 8-6 with a 4.43 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against New York this year (three starts).
The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Noah Syndergaard (5-4, 4.56 ERA, 1.24 WHIP), who has 98 strikeouts and 27 walks this season. Syndergaard is 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.83, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K-per-9 of 9.26.
The Phillies offense has slashed .244/.325/.420 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been powered by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .280/.335/.418 with seven home runs, 40 RBIs and 42 runs scored. Segura (.276/.320/.450) has produced 10 homers, 40 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.36, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.70 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 42 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.95.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .271/.326/.406 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ batters have been led by outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .348/.409/.513 with seven home runs, 35 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Alonso’s line sits at .281/.373/.634 with 29 homers, 66 RBIs and 56 runs.
The Phillies have lost 0.5 units and are 30-34 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 15.7 units and are 29-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under.
Phillies vs. Mets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in four of New York’s last seven games.
- Philadelphia has posted 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.4 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 15 home runs over their last 10 games.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .745 this season and an OPS of .733 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .758 overall and .738 against righties.
