The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing host to the San Diego Padres at Dodger Stadium. Spectrum SportsNet LA will be showing the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
San Diego (+145) is entering this one as the underdog to Los Angeles (-155) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -150 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +130 for the Dodgers -1.5.
The Padres are 43-45 SU and are 38-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.5 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 60-30 SU and 42-47 ATS. They’ve gained 16.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.7 units ATS. Los Angeles has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Dodgers games have an over/under record of 42-40-7 thus far in 2019. Padres games have gone over 44 times, gone under 36 times and pushed on seven occasions.
The right-handed Chris Paddack is projected to start for the visiting Padres. Paddack (5-4, 3.05 ERA) has recorded 81 strikeouts in 76.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 5.79 ERA against Los Angeles this year.
The Dodgers are turning to Kenta Maeda (7-4, 3.78 ERA). Maeda has 88 strikeouts and 30 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.10. Maeda is 1-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA across two starts against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.01, a WHIP of 1.04 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 42 divisional games, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.91.
The Los Angeles hitters have put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .251/.340/.404 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the Dodgers’ hitters this year. Bellinger is slashing .344/.439/.707 with 30 home runs, 71 RBIs, 70 runs and eight stolen bases, and Turner is hitting .292 with nine homers, 33 RBIs and 44 runs.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.43 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.90, along with a K-per-9 of 9.94.
Padres hitters have slashed .243/.308/.430 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
San Diego’s offensive production has been fueled by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .293/.343/.457 with 13 home runs, 62 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .272/.346/.502 with 20 homers, 58 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 4.8 units and are 31-42 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 12.3 units and are 33-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 28 of those games, compared to 27 that went under.
Padres vs. Dodgers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of San Diego’s last seven games.
- The Padres have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Padres have an OPS of .738 this season and an OPS of .726 against right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS sits at .816 overall and .810 versus righties.
- San Diego has posted 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.4 over its last five.