Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox will be taking on the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in a Saturday matinee. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Detroit will be airing this AL matchup.
Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers Odds
The Red Sox are 47-41 SU and have gone 36-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 20.3 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 28-55 SU and 35-47 ATS. The team’s lost 15.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 17.1 units ATS.
Tigers games have a 37-40-5 over/under record so far in 2019. Boston has been a decent over bet with a total record of 49-35-3.
Rick Porcello will get the start for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Porcello is 5-7 with a 5.07 ERA and 76 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers are turning to righty Jordan Zimmermann (0-5, 5.36 ERA), who has 31 strikeouts and 15 walks as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Zimmermann is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 15.00 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.67 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.48, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .271/.347/.461 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game this year, including 7.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Devers is slashing .331/.385/.561 with 16 home runs, 61 RBIs, 68 runs and eight stolen bases. Bogaerts (.295/.385/.535) is up to 17 homers, 63 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
For the home team, Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 5.4 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.82, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.05 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .253/.308/.425 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Tigers’ batters have been led by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is hitting .281/.342/.469 with nine home runs, 32 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Cabrera’s line sits at .303/.369/.401 with five homers, 36 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 6.0 units and are 29-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, as opposed to 26 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 16.4 units and are 27-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 36 which went under the total.
Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in five of Boston’s last seven games.
- Detroit has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Red Sox have a total OPS of .808 this season and an OPS of .821 against right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .674 overall and .667 versus righties.
