The Minnesota Twins are playing host to the Texas Rangers at Target Field. This AL showdown will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will broadcast the game.
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Texas (+165) as the underdog to Minnesota (-175). The total stands at 10.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Rangers +1.5 runs (-135) and Twins -1.5 runs (+115).
Each team has been kind to bettors this year this year. The Twins are 54-32 straight up (SU) and 47-38 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 17.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.7 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Rangers are 47-40 SU and have gone 51-35 ATS. In total, the club has gained 15.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.3 units ATS. Texas is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Twins games have an over/under record of 43-37-5 so far in 2019. The Rangers have an over/under record of 40-45-1.
Right-hander Adrian Sampson will get the nod for the visiting Rangers. Sampson (6-5, 4.16 ERA) has recorded 73 strikeouts in 88.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Twins are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Martin Perez (7-3, 4.15 ERA), who’s got 82 strikeouts and 38 walks, along with a 1.36 WHIP. Perez did not register a start against the Rangers in 2018.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.78, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.26 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters have produced 5.7 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .263/.303/.468 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is slashing .313/.371/.515 with 12 home runs, 40 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while Rosario is batting .282 with 20 homers, 60 RBIs and 51 runs.
For the visitors, Texas’ pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.76 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.60 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.75, along with a WHIP of 1.39 and a K/9 of 8.42.
Rangers hitters have slashed .254/.331/.446 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Texas’ hitters have been paced by Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo. The speedy Andrus is hitting .308/.343/.454 with seven home runs, 44 RBIs, 48 runs and 19 stolen bases. Choo is slashing .279/.375/.481 with 12 homers, 34 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
The Rangers have gained 1.0 units and are 17-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 15.1 units and are 34-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 32 of those games, as opposed to 30 which went under the total.
Rangers at Twins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in five of Texas’ last seven games.
- The Rangers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Rangers have a total OPS of .777 this season and an OPS of .708 against left-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .830 overall and .861 against southpaws.
- Texas has recorded 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.0 over its last five.
