San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The streaking Los Angeles Dodgers will go for their fifth consecutive win as they play host to the San Diego Padres at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Spectrum SportsNet LA will broadcast the matchup.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Vegas is listing Los Angeles (-180) as the favorite over San Diego (+170). If you think the game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -110 odds. Taking the over will give you -110 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -130 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +110 for the Dodgers -1.5 runs.

The Padres are 42-45 SU and are 38-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 14.4 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 60-29 SU and 41-47 ATS. The team’s gained 15.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.7 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 42-39-7 so far in 2019. San Diego has been a decent over bet with a total record of 44-35-7.

Eric Lauer will get the start for San Diego. The southpaw Lauer is 5-7 with a 4.22 ERA and 66 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

The Dodgers are going with lefty Clayton Kershaw (7-2, 3.23 ERA), who has 82 strikeouts and 15 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.07. Kershaw is 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 4.15 ERA across two starts against San Diego this year.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.03 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 41 games against divisional opponents, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.33 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.97.

The Los Angeles offense has put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .263/.354/.427 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Dodgers’ batters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner. Bellinger is hitting .344/.438/.711 with 30 home runs, 71 RBIs, 70 runs and eight stolen bases, and Turner is hitting .296 with nine homers, 33 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.47 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.95, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

Padres hitters have slashed .243/.309/.431 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado continue to lead San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .294/.344/.457 with 13 home runs, 61 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Machado (.273/.347/.505) is up to 20 homers, 57 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 1.4 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 4.0 units and are 9-18 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 13 that went under.

Padres at Dodgers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • San Diego has tallied 11 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Los Angeles has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 16 over their last 10.
  • The Padres have a total OPS of .740 this season and an OPS of .767 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS sits at .822 overall and .792 against southpaws.
  • San Diego has recorded 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.0 over its last five.