Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick

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Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels are ready to take on their AL West foe Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park in a Thursday showdown. The matchup will get underway at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Southwest to catch the action.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers Odds

Las Vegas has Los Angeles (+125) as the underdog to Texas (-135). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go under 11 runs, then Vegas is offering -120 odds. Picking the over will give you even money (+100). There’s a runline of Angels +1.5 (-170) and Rangers -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.

The Rangers are 46-40 straight up (SU) and 51-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units ATS. The Angels have gone 44-43 SU this year and are 47-39 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.1 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 9.4 units ATS.

Rangers games have an over/under record of 40-44-1 so far in 2019. The Angels have an over/under record of 39-40-7.

Griffin Canning will get the start for Los Angeles. The right-handed Canning is 3-4 with a 3.79 ERA and 63 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Texas this year.

The Rangers are sending righty Lance Lynn (10-4, 4.00 ERA) to the mound. Lynn has 118 strikeouts and 26 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.21. Lynn is 1-1 with seven strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA over two starts against Los Angeles this year.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.25 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.50 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.43, along with a K/9 of 9.53.

Angels hitters have slashed .259/.339/.436 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by Mike Trout and Tommy La Stella, who collectively have blasted 40 home runs. Trout is hitting .296/.452/.617 with 24 home runs, 61 RBIs, 66 runs and eight stolen bases, while La Stella (.300/.353/.495) has produced 16 homers, 44 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Texas’ pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.79, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.76 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 41 divisional games, Rangers starters have an ERA of 5.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.50.

The Texas offense has put up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .175/.240/.292 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Rangers’ offense has been led by Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo. Andrus is hitting .306/.342/.452 with seven home runs, 44 RBIs, 47 runs and 19 stolen bases, and Choo’s line is .277/.375/.479 with 12 homers, 34 RBIs and 54 runs scored.

The Angels have gained 7.3 units and are 33-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rangers have netted 15.1 units and are 34-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 31 which went under the total.

Angels vs. Rangers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in four of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
  • Los Angeles has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 13 home runs over its last 10 games.
  • The Angels have a total OPS of .775 this season and an OPS of .783 against right-handed pitchers. The Rangers’ OPS stands at .773 overall and .801 versus righties.