The Miami Marlins will be taking on their divisional rival Washington Nationals in a Wednesday showdown. The matchup will get going at 6:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Miami (+230) is coming into this one as the underdog against Washington (-260) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (+105) and Nationals -1.5 runs (-125).
The Nationals are 43-41 straight up (SU) and 43-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.9 units ATS. The Marlins have gone 32-51 SU this year and are 40-42 against the spread. In total, the team’s accumulated 0.9 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 11.1 units ATS.
Washington games have had an over/under record of 42-35-6 thus far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 38-39-5.
Sandy Alcantara is getting the nod for Miami. The right-handed Alcantara is 4-7 with a 3.86 ERA and 65 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with three strikeouts and an 8.18 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).
The Nationals will put the ball in the right hand of Stephen Strasburg (9-4, 3.88 ERA, 1.07 WHIP), who has 124 punchouts and 27 walks this season. Strasburg is 2-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.40 ERA across two starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.68, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a 6.28 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 40 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.15 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.94.
The Washington offense has produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .237/.294/.445 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by outfielders Adam Eaton and Juan Soto. Eaton is slashing .278/.363/.382 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 47 runs scored, and Soto’s line sits at .301/.406/.554 with 15 homers, 54 RBIs and 50 runs.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.00, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
The Marlins offense has slashed .239/.298/.357 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Miguel Rojas and third baseman Brian Anderson. Rojas is slashing .294/.356/.365 with 83 hits, 24 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .254/.338/.427 with 78 hits, 11 homers, 38 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 2.0 units and are 29-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 32 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 4.7 units and are 33-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.
Marlins at Nationals MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .656 this season and an OPS of .655 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .760 overall and .726 versus righties.
- The Nationals have won six of their last seven games SU.
- Miami has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.8 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 13 over their last 10.