Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

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The Baltimore Orioles are ready to do battle against their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays in a Wednesday night game. The action will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Rays are 50-36 straight up (SU) and 47-38 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 0.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 6.6 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Orioles have gone 24-61 SU this year and are 34-50 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 19.9 units for moneyline bettors and 21.9 units ATS. Baltimore’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 34-45-6 thus far in 2019. The Orioles have been a decent over bet with a total record of 43-36-5.

The left-handed John Means is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Means is 7-4 with a 2.50 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.

The Rays are going with righty Ryne Stanek (0-1, 2.64 ERA), who has 51 punchouts and 19 walks to his credit, along with a 1.13 WHIP. Stanek is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA over two starts against Baltimore this year.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have given up 3.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 3.01 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.48 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 31 games against divisional foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 2.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.53.

The Tampa Bay hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .234/.301/.418 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Rays’ batters have been led by outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia. Pham is slashing .285/.385/.470 with 13 home runs, 37 RBIs, 40 runs and seven stolen bases, and Garcia’s line sits at .276/.332/.451 with 12 homers, 40 RBIs, 38 runs and eight stolen bases.

For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.49 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.94 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.24, along with a WHIP of 1.43.

Orioles hitters have slashed .240/.304/.401 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Baltimore’s offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar, who collectively have blasted 27 home runs. Mancini is slashing .301/.358/.538 with 17 home runs, 40 RBIs and 54 runs scored. Villar (.256/.325/.417) is up to 10 homers, 35 RBIs, 51 runs and 16 stolen bases.

The Orioles have lost 11.6 units and are 23-28 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 1.1 units and are 18-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.

Orioles at Rays Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in five of Baltimore’s last seven contests.
  • The Orioles have an OPS of .704 this season and an OPS of .692 against right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS stands at .751 overall and .762 versus righties.
  • Tampa Bay has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.