The Philadelphia Phillies will be facing off against their NL East foe Atlanta Braves in a Wednesday night game. The action will begin at 7:20 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia to catch the game.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Philadelphia (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog against Atlanta (-140) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Runline odds stand at -170 for picking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +150 for the Braves -1.5.
The Braves are 50-36 straight up (SU) and 41-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.8 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.4 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, have gone 45-40 SU this year and are 40-44 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.3 units ATS.
Braves games have had an over/under record of 47-33-5 so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 40-40-4.
Nick Pivetta will get the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Pivetta is 4-2 with a 5.63 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.35 ERA against Atlanta this year (two starts).
The Braves are handing the ball to righty Bryse Wilson (0-0, 8.31 ERA), who has 10 punchouts and five walks, along with a 1.85 WHIP. Wilson is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.59, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 31 games against divisional foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.89 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.56.
Atlanta’s offense has produced 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.326/.424 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have led the Braves’ hitters this year. Freeman is slashing .309/.395/.585 with 22 home runs, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Acuna Jr.’s line is .292/.375/.509 with 20 homers, 52 RBIs, 64 runs and 13 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.44 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.10 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.77, along with a K/9 of 9.21.
The Phillies offense has slashed .244/.325/.421 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production has been powered by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .283/.338/.427 with seven home runs, 37 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Segura (.275/.318/.453) has produced 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 1.6 units and are 30-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 4.8 units and are 32-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.
Phillies vs. Braves Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven outings.
- The Phillies have an OPS of .746 this season and an OPS of .730 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .797 overall and .788 against righties.
- Atlanta has recorded 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 16 over their last 10.
