Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres will square off against their cross-country foe Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in a Sunday showdown. This NL matchup gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on both ATPT and FSSD.
San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Las Vegas has Pittsburgh (+140) as the underdog to San Diego (-150). The total currently stands at 9 runs and gamblers can play the over or the under for -110. This game currently has a runline of Padres -1.5 (-105) and Pirates +1.5 (-115).
The Padres have gone 38-39 SU this year and are 34-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.9 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 35-40 SU and 36-38 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Pirates games have a 43-28-3 over/under record thus far in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 37-34-5.
The left-handed Joey Lucchesi is the probable starter for the visiting Padres. Lucchesi is 6-4 with a 3.74 ERA and 78 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the left hand of Steven Brault (3-1, 4.40 ERA, 1.55 WHIP), who has 40 strikeouts and 24 walks this season. Brault is 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against San Diego this year.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.30 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.90 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.92, along with a K-per-9 of 10.03.
The Padres offense has slashed .240/.306/.423 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 6.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
San Diego’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is hitting .283/.338/.444 with 11 home runs, 50 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Machado has a .273 average with 16 homers, 45 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.00, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.08 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .279/.343/.467 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ batters have been led by first baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Starling Marte. Bell is slashing .313/.384/.641 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .283/.326/.482 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs, 45 runs and 11 stolen bases.
The Padres have lost 0.1 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 3.1 units and are 8-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to six which went under the total.
Padres at Pirates MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of San Diego’s last seven contests.
- The San Diego defense has coughed up three errors over the last five outin, compared to six errors for Pittsburgh over its last five.
- The Padres have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit eight over their last 10.
- The Padres have a team OPS of .730 this season, including an OPS of .754 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .736 overall and .626 against southpaws.
