Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres will be taking on their cross-country foe Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in a Saturday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on ATPT and FSSD.
San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Las Vegas has San Diego (-115) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+105). You can play matchup’s total with current odds posted at -110 for over 9 runs and -110 for under 9. There’s a runline of Padres -1.5 (+130) and Pirates +1.5 (-150) for this matchup.
The Padres have gone 38-38 SU this year and are 33-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors and 14.9 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 34-40 SU and 36-37 ATS. The team has lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 43-27-3 so far in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 37-33-5.
Chris Paddack will get the nod for San Diego. The right-handed Paddack (4-4, 3.15 ERA) has recorded 72 strikeouts in 65.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chris Archer (3-6, 5.85 ERA), who’s got 69 strikeouts and 33 walks as well as a 1.52 WHIP. Archer did not register a start against the Padres in 2018.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.31 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.98 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.84, along with a K-per-9 of 10.07.
The Padres offense has slashed .241/.306/.425 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 6.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado continue to lead San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .284/.337/.446 with 11 home runs, 50 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Machado (.271/.350/.477) is up to 15 homers, 43 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.04, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.08 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Pittsburgh’s offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .262/.311/.435 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte. Bell is hitting .312/.379/.642 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .283/.324/.476 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs, 44 runs and 11 steals.
The Padres have lost 0.9 units and are 26-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 1.7 units and are 28-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 22 that went under.
Padres at Pirates Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in five of San Diego’s last seven games.
- The San Diego defense has coughed up four errors over the last five games, compared to seven errors for Pittsburgh over its last five.
- The Padres have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Padres have an OPS of .730 this season and an OPS of .718 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .733 overall and .750 versus righties.
