Paul DeJong and the St. Louis Cardinals will be taking the field against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in a Wednesday night game. This NL matchup will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia to catch the action.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Las Vegas has St. Louis (+150) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-160). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go below 9.5 runs, then Vegas is currently offering -110 odds to play the under. Playing the over give you -110 odds. This game currently has a runline of Cardinals +1.5 (-145) and Phillies -1.5 (+125).
The Phillies are 32-22 straight up (SU) and 28-25 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 5.2 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Cardinals are 26-27 SU and have gone 27-25 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 2.1 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither team has established itself as a strong over/under play this season. Phillies games have an over/under record of 25-27-1 so far in 2019. St. Louis has an over/under record of 25-23-4.
Left-hander Genesis Cabrera is the probable starter for the visiting Cardinals. Cabrera has yet to pitch in the majors this season and St. Louis is hoping that he fares decently against MLB hitters.
The Phillies will deploy righty Aaron Nola (5-0, 4.53 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 66 punchouts and 25 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.54. Nola is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.
St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.58 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.90 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.08, along with a K-per-9 of 10.43.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .251/.336/.413 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
St. Louis’ hitters have been paced by shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who have combined to launch 19 home runs. DeJong is slashing .291/.394/.510 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs and 40 runs scored. Goldschmidt (.268/.359/.449) has produced 11 homers, 26 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
Philadelphia’s hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .256/.301/.488 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have paced the Phillies’ batters this year. Hernandez is hitting .303/.361/.482 with six home runs, 25 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Segura’s line is .308/.354/.478 with five homers, 23 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Cardinals have lost 2.1 units and are 24-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 4.8 units and are 6-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to six which went under the total.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- St. Louis has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. Philadelphia has 22 XBH over its last five.
- The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games SU while the Phillies have won four of their last five.
- Philadelphia has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Cardinals have a team OPS of .749 this season and an OPS of .754 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .743 overall and .727 against righties.
