The New York Yankees are playing host to the San Diego Padres at Yankee Stadium. YES Network will be televising this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at New York Yankees Odds
New York (-135) is favored over San Diego (+125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +150 for the Yankees -1.5.
The Yankees are 35-19 straight up (SU) and 30-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Padres have gone 29-26 SU this year and are 24-30 ATS. Overall, the club has gained 0.4 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 10.4 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Yankees games have an over/under record of 29-22-2 so far in 2019. The Padres have an over/under record of 25-27-2.
Right-hander Chris Paddack is projected to start for the visiting Padres. Paddack (4-2, 1.93 ERA) has racked up 56 strikeouts in 51.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Yankees will put the ball in the left hand of James Paxton (3-2, 3.11 ERA, 1.19 WHIP), who has 52 punchouts and 13 walks. Paxton did not register a start against the Padres in 2018.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.85 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.7 K/9.
New York’s hitters have put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 7.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .261/.343/.409 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led the Yankees’ offense this year. LeMahieu is hitting .313/.360/.427 with four home runs, 29 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Torres is batting .284 with 13 homers, 29 RBIs and 32 runs.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.82 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.28, along with a K/9 of 10.47.
The Padres offense has slashed .235/.298/.417 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .298/.347/.471 with nine home runs, 33 RBIs and 30 runs scored. Machado (.266/.348/.437) has produced nine homers, 27 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 1.1 units and are 6-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 8.4 units and are 24-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 16 which went under the total.
Padres vs. Yankees MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in three of San Diego’s last seven contests.
- The Padres have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Padres have a team OPS of .715 this season and an OPS of .732 against left-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS stands at .784 overall and .678 against southpaws.
- New York has recorded 28.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.2 over its last five.
