New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

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The New York Mets will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in a Wednesday showdown. This NL matchup will get going at 10:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise the game.

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (-185) is a pretty solid favorite against New York (+175) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Mets +1.5 runs (-125) and Dodgers -1.5 runs (+105).

The Dodgers are 36-19 straight up (SU) and 27-27 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 11.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.5 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total went over in all seven of them. The Mets have gone 27-27 SU this year and are 25-28 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 8.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 29-23-2 thus far in 2019. The Mets have also been a decent over bet with a total record of 28-21-4.

The right-handed Noah Syndergaard is the projected starter for the visiting Mets. Syndergaard (3-4, 4.93 ERA) has recorded 72 punchouts in 69.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Dodgers are turning to righty Walker Buehler (5-1, 3.58 ERA), who’s got 52 punchouts and 11 walks, along with a 1.05 WHIP. Buehler did not register a start against the Mets in 2018.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.00, a WHIP of 1.05 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.76 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

Los Angeles’ offense has put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 6.2 per game over its last 10 games and 8.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .339/.425/.565 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the charge for the Dodgers’ offense this year. Bellinger is slashing .382/.469/.770 with 20 home runs, 51 RBIs, 49 runs and seven stolen bases, and Turner’s line is .298/.387/.436 with six homers, 23 RBIs and 27 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.47 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.63, along with a K-per-9 of 9.35.

The Mets offense has slashed .246/.325/.414 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have paced New York’s hitters. McNeil is slashing .333/.418/.461 with 55 hits, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario (.262/.307/.421) is up to 53 hits, five homers, 28 RBIs, 20 runs and five steals.

The Mets have lost 5.3 units and are 18-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 12.5 units and are 22-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 17 which went under the total.

Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Both offenses have tallied 25 extra-base hits over their last five games.
  • The Mets have an OPS of .740 this season and an OPS of .725 against right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .811 overall and .808 against righties.
  • The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
  • New York has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.2 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.