The Pittsburgh Pirates will be taking on their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds in a Wednesday night game. The action begins at 12:35 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on ATPT and FSOH.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Pittsburgh (+145) is the underdog against Cincinnati (-155) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 10 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Pirates +1.5 runs (-150) and Reds -1.5 runs (+130).
The Reds are 26-29 straight up (SU) and 31-23 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 2.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Pirates are 26-27 SU and have gone 28-24 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 4.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 0.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven.
Reds games have an over/under record of 21-31-2 so far in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a decent over bet with a total record of 29-21-2.
Steven Brault will get the nod for Pittsburgh. The left-handed Brault is 1-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (3-0, 0.55 ERA and 17 strikeouts over 16.1 innings).
The Reds are turning to Anthony DeSclafani (2-2, 4.99 ERA). DeSclafani has 52 strikeouts and 17 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.32. DeSclafani is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 12.46 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 25 games against divisional opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 4.14 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.45.
Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 8.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .358/.413/.626 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Reds’ batters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .281/.358/.558 with 14 home runs, 39 RBIs and 31 runs scored, and Iglesias has put up a line of .313/.346/.455 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 21 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.77 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.05 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.92, along with a K/9 of 9.97.
Pirates hitters have slashed .248/.308/.395 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
First baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Melky Cabrera have paced Pittsburgh’s offense. Bell is slashing .338/.405/.706 with 17 home runs, 48 RBIs and 39 runs scored. Cabrera is hitting .327/.365/.447 with three homers, 16 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Pirates have gained 6.1 units and are 20-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.3 units and are 10-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve cashed the under.
Pirates vs. Reds Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Pittsburgh has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five games. Cincinnati has 25 XBH over its last five.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .703 this season and an OPS of .715 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .719 overall and .702 against righties.
- The Pirates have dropped five of their last six games SU.
- Pittsburgh has posted 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 18 over their last 10.
