Nicholas Castellanos and the struggling Detroit Tigers will be taking the field against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in a Tuesday showdown. Fox Sports Detroit will be televising this AL matchup and the action gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Las Vegas has Detroit (+100) as the underdog to Baltimore (-110). The total currently stands at 9 runs and bettors can play the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. There’s a runline of Tigers +1.5 (-210) and Orioles -1.5 (+175) for this matchup.
The Orioles are just 17-37 straight up (SU) and 21-32 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 8.4 units for moneyline bettors and 13.1 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in all seven of them. The Tigers have gone 19-32 SU this year and are 22-28 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.9 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 28-22-3 so far in 2019. Tigers games have gone under 26 times, gone over 22 times and pushed on two occasions.
Left-hander Matthew Boyd is the probable starter for the visiting Tigers. Boyd is 4-4 with a 3.10 ERA and 80 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 1.42 ERA and six strikeouts over 6.1 innings).
The Orioles will put the ball in the right hand of Dylan Bundy (2-5, 4.67 ERA, 1.27 WHIP), who has 52 strikeouts and 21 walks. Bundy did not record a start against the Tigers in 2018.
Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.50 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.45, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
The Tigers offense has slashed .226/.293/.365 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera continue to lead Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is slashing .274/.318/.463 with five home runs, 19 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Cabrera (.295/.370/.372) has produced two homers, 21 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.61 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.99 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Baltimore hitters have produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .301/.349/.517 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ offense has been led by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is hitting .305/.353/.547 with 10 home runs, 26 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Villar’s line is .257/.309/.427 with seven homers, 25 RBIs, 34 runs and nine steals.
The Tigers have lost 4.0 units and are 17-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 4.3 units and are 5-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.
Tigers vs. Orioles MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- Detroit has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has 20 XBH over its last five.
- The Tigers have dropped 12 of their last 13 games SU.
- Detroit has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.4 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
- The Tigers have an OPS of .658 this season and an OPS of .646 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .708 overall and .701 versus righties.