The ice-cold Toronto Blue Jays are trying to avoid losing their fifth straight game when they play host to the San Diego Padres at Rogers Centre. The game gets underway 1:07 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be airing this interleague matchup.
San Diego Padres at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Toronto (receiving +115 odds) is rolling into this one as an underdog against San Diego and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now sit at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +120 for the Padres -1.5 runs and -140 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs.
The Padres are 28-24 SU and have gone 23-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 8.0 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 20-32 SU and 25-26 ATS. They’ve lost 9.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.8 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Toronto games have an over/under record of 22-27-2 so far in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 23-26-2.
Chris Paddack will get the nod for San Diego. The right-handed Paddack is 4-2 with a 1.93 ERA and 56 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Blue Jays are turning to righty Marcus Stroman (2-6, 2.81 ERA), who’s got 55 strikeouts and 25 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.34. Stroman did not register a start against the Padres in 2018.
As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.44, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Toronto hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .193/.253/.420 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk have led the charge for the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Galvis is hitting .270/.304/.443 with seven home runs, 22 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Grichuk is hitting .232 with eight homers, 19 RBIs and 25 runs.
For the visiting squad, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.84 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.19 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.91, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 10.50.
The Padres offense has slashed .234/.296/.420 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
San Diego’s offensive production has been sparked by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado, who collectively have launched 17 home runs. Hosmer is hitting .292/.344/.462 with eight home runs, 30 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .267/.350/.444 with nine homers, 26 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Padres have gained 2.5 units and are 17-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 13.1 units and are 17-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under.
Padres at Blue Jays MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of San Diego’s last seven contests.
- The Padres have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Padres have a team OPS of .717 this season and an OPS of .712 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS sits at .651 overall and .661 against righties.
- San Diego has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26.6 over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games SU.
