Detroit Tigers at New York Mets Betting Preview

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The New York Mets are set to host the Detroit Tigers at Citi Field. Pix11 will be televising this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at New York Mets Odds

Detroit (+160) is entering this game as the underdog to New York (-170) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -135 for betting the Tigers +1.5 runs and +115 for the Mets -1.5.

The Mets are 25-26 straight up (SU) and 25-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.3 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Tigers are 19-30 SU and have gone 20-28 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.9 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have had an over/under record of 27-20-3 thus far in 2019. Tigers games have gone under 25 times, gone over 22 times and pushed on one occasion.

Right-hander Spencer Turnbull is getting the nod for Detroit. Turnbull is 2-3 with a 2.68 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Mets are countering with Zack Wheeler (3-3, 4.74 ERA). Wheeler has 70 strikeouts and 23 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.37. Wheeler did not re a start against the Tigers in 2018.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

New York’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .231/.314/.491 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Mets’ hitters have been led by outfielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is hitting .333/.418/.461 with 55 hits, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Rosario is hitting .253 with five homers, 27 RBIs and 17 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.51 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.50, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K/9 of 7.66.

Tigers hitters have slashed .226/.295/.368 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Detroit’s offensive production has been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is slashing .303/.379/.382 with 54 hits, 21 RBIs and 14 runs scored. Castellanos is hitting .264/.311/.435 with 51 hits, 15 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 3.0 units and are 16-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 15 that went under.

Tigers at Mets Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Detroit has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 21 XBH over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
  • The Tigers have an OPS of .662 this season and an OPS of .650 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .728 overall and .718 versus righties.
  • Detroit has recorded 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.0 over its last five.
  • The Mets have won five of their last six games SU.