The Philadelphia Phillies will be taking the field against the Milwaukee Brewers in a Sunday day game. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be televising this NL matchup and the game gets going at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-150) is hosting this one as the favorite against Philadelphia (+140) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -155 for picking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +135 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Phillies have gone 31-21 SU this year and are 27-24 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.4 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 29-24 SU and 26-26 ATS. The team’s gained 5.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.9 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 21-30-1 so far in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 24-26-1.
Right-hander Zach Eflin is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Eflin is 5-4 with a 2.76 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are countering with Brandon Woodruff (6-1, 3.51 ERA). Woodruff has 65 strikeouts and 17 walks, along with a 1.22 WHIP. Woodruff is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.44, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.38 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .246/.304/.437 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is hitting .261/.319/.393 with four home runs, 19 RBIs, 33 runs and five stolen bases, while Yelich’s line is .323/.437/.732 with 20 homers, 42 RBIs, 41 runs and nine stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.15 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.79, along with a WHIP of 1.37.
The Phillies offense has slashed .249/.334/.419 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .307/.367/.476 with five home runs, 23 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Segura is hitting .320/.367/.497 with five homers, 23 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 9.8 units and are 21-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 3.7 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve cashed the under.
Phillies at Brewers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have a total OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .739 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .763 overall and .757 versus righties.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games SU.
- Milwaukee has recorded 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.4 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
