The Cincinnati Reds will be squaring off against their NL Central rival Chicago Cubs in a Sunday matinee. WGN is in line to broadcast the action and the game gets going at 2:20 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Reds are 23-28 SU and have gone 29-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.6 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 5.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 30-20 SU and 23-26 ATS. The team’s gained 4.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.4 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Cubs games have a 27-21-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Cincinnati has been a decent under bet with a total record of 18-31-1.
Right-hander Tanner Roark is the projected starter for the visiting Reds. Roark is 3-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Chicago this year.
The Cubs are going with lefty Jose Quintana (4-3, 3.30 ERA), who has 54 strikeouts and 18 walks to his name, along with a 1.22 WHIP. Quintana is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 17 games against NL Central opponents, Cubs starters have an ERA of 4.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.86.
The Chicago hitters have put up 5.5 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .286/.388/.536 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant have led the Cubs’ offense this year. Baez is slashing .308/.352/.582 with 12 home runs, 33 RBIs and 36 runs scored, and Bryant’s line is .288/.411/.576 with 12 homers, 34 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.69 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.84 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.54, along with a K/9 of 9.93.
The Reds offense has slashed .224/.297/.395 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s offensive production has been powered by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is hitting .267/.346/.545 with 14 home runs, 34 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .304/.333/.422 with three homers, 17 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 1.8 units and are 9-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 2.4 units and are 18-21 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under.
Reds vs. Cubs Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Cincinnati has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Chicago has 20 XBH over its last five.
- The Reds have a team OPS of .693 this season, including an OPS of .698 against left-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS stands at .811 overall and .763 against southpaws.
- Cincinnati has recorded 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
