The Washington Nationals are playing host to their divisional rival Miami Marlins at Nationals Park. The matchup will get going at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Miami (+190) is entering this one as the underdog to Washington (-210) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-115) and Nationals -1.5 runs (-105).
The Nationals are 20-31 straight up (SU) and 20-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 19.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.9 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 16-32 SU this year and are 21-26 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 6.5 units for moneyline bettors and 10.9 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 26-21-3 so far in 2019. Miami has been a decent under bet with a total record of 20-26-1.
Right-hander Sandy Alcantara is projected to start for Miami. Alcantara (2-4, 4.25 ERA) has racked up 36 punchouts in 53 innings so far. He has yet to face Washington this year, but he made two starts against the Nationals in 2018, putting together a 0-2 record against them with a 10.13 ERA and six strikeouts.
The Nationals are handing the ball to lefty Patrick Corbin (4-2, 3.25 ERA), who has 76 punchouts and 21 walks, along with a 1.10 WHIP. Corbin did not register a start against the Marlins in 2018.
As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 3.99 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 7.09 ERA, 1.66 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 25 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.94 and the bullpen’s ERA is 8.15.
The Washington hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .268/.349/.494 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Right fielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the way for the Nationals’ batters this year. Eaton is hitting .272/.339/.391 with five home runs, 14 RBIs, 28 runs and five steals, and Rendon is batting .326 with 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 36 runs.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.09 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.30, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 10.25.
Marlins hitters have slashed .225/.288/.328 on their way to 3.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Miami’s offense has been powered by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .231/.275/.290 with three home runs, 13 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Anderson (.235/.319/.363) is up to five homers, 18 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 0.1 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, as opposed to five that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 12.8 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to 16 that went under the total.
Marlins at Nationals MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in three of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Marlins have a total OPS of .616 this season and an OPS of .619 against left-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .735 overall and .861 against lefties.
- Washington has recorded 25.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.
