The Cleveland Indians will play host to the Tampa Bay Rays at Progressive Field. Fox Sports Sun will showcase this AL showdown and the game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Indians Odds
Cleveland (-110) is favored against Tampa Bay (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -210 for taking the Rays +1.5 runs and +175 for the Indians -1.5.
The Rays have gone 29-19 SU this year and are 28-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.5 units ATS. Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 26-24 SU and 22-27 ATS. The team has lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Cleveland games have a 19-29-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Rays games have gone under 25 times, gone over 20 times and pushed on two instances.
The right-handed Charlie Morton will get the start for the visiting Rays. Morton is 4-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He has yet to face Cleveland this year, but he made two starts against the Indians in 2018, compiling a 2-0 record against them with a 2.08 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
The Indians are putting the ball in the hands of righty Carlos Carrasco (4-4, 4.30 ERA), who has 66 strikeouts and nine walks, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Carrasco made two starts against the Rays in 2018, compiling a 0-2 record with a 5.40 ERA.
Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.89 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
The Cleveland offense has produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .190/.301/.342 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ hitters have been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and right fielder Leonys Martin. Santana is slashing .282/.408/.476 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Martin is batting .220 with six homers, 12 RBIs and 26 runs.
In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 3.2 runs per game and its starters own a 2.42 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 10.37 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.54, along with a WHIP of 0.98.
Rays hitters have slashed .253/.332/.434 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Tampa Bay’s offensive production has been sparked by left fielder Tommy Pham and second baseman Brandon Lowe, who have combined to drive in 50 runs. Pham is slashing .287/.398/.459 with seven home runs, 22 RBIs, 20 runs and six stolen bases, while Lowe (.280/.328/.530) is up to 10 homers, 28 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Rays have lost 2.1 units and are 17-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 4.3 units and are 17-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve cashed the under.
Rays vs. Indians MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in three of Tampa Bay’s last seven outings.
- The Rays have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
- The Rays have a total OPS of .766 this season and an OPS of .795 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .672 overall and .669 against righties.
- Tampa Bay has recorded 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.6 over its last five.
