The Chicago Cubs will play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Wrigley Field. The matchup starts at 2:20 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on WLS and FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Reds have gone 23-27 SU this year and are 28-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.4 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the year, despite having gained 4.7 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 29-20 SU and 23-25 ATS. The team has gained 6.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.4 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Chicago games have had an over/under record of 26-21-1 so far in 2019. The Reds have been a decent under bet with a total record of 17-31-1.
The right-handed Tyler Mahle is getting the nod for the visiting Reds. Mahle is 1-5 with a 3.51 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he did make three starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 2-1 record with a 2.41 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
The Cubs are countering with Yu Darvish (2-3, 5.06 ERA). Darvish has 62 strikeouts and 36 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.56. Darvish is 0-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.98 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 16 divisional games, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.76 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.99.
Chicago’s hitters have put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .279/.380/.483 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant have led the way for the Cubs’ batters this year. Baez is slashing .313/.354/.591 with 12 home runs, 33 RBIs and 36 runs scored, and Bryant is hitting .283 with 12 homers, 34 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
For the visitors, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.56 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.86 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.50, along with a K/9 of 9.95.
The Reds offense has slashed .220/.295/.390 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led Cincinnati’s offense. Suarez is slashing .258/.340/.544 with 14 home runs, 33 RBIs and 28 runs scored. Iglesias (.299/.329/.420) has produced three homers, 17 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 1.6 units and are 19-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 4.2 units and are 18-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 18 that went under the total.
Reds at Cubs Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in only two of Chicago’s last seven games.
- The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .685 this season and an OPS of .675 against right-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS sits at .805 overall and .813 against righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
