Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

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Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies are heading west to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia is in line to televise this NL showdown.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

The Brewers are 29-22 straight up (SU) and 26-25 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 6.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies have gone 29-21 SU this year and are 25-24 ATS. In total, the club has gained 2.8 units for moneyline bettors and 0.2 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Brewers games have had an over/under record of 20-30-1 thus far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 22-26-1.

The right-handed Jerad Eickhoff is projected to start for the visiting Phillies. Eickhoff is 2-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are turning to righty Chase Anderson (2-0, 2.66 ERA), who’s got 25 punchouts and 13 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Anderson hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 10.13 ERA and five strikeouts across 5.1 innings).

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.12 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.95, along with a K-per-9 of 8.95.

The Phillies offense has slashed .246/.332/.411 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .304/.366/.459 with four home runs, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Segura has a .325 average with five homers, 22 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.35, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.31 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .258/.337/.416 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .271/.330/.409 with four home runs, 19 RBIs, 33 runs and five stolen bases, and Yelich’s line is .325/.440/.732 with 19 homers, 41 RBIs, 40 runs and nine steals.

The Phillies have gained 8.7 units and are 20-17 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 5.0 units and are 17-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 20 that went under.

Phillies vs. Brewers MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • Philadelphia has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • The Phillies have an OPS of .743 this season and an OPS of .732 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .768 overall and .760 versus righties.