David Peralta and the Arizona Diamondbacks will be hitting the diamond versus their divisional rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park in a Wednesday matinee. The game gets underway 3:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Odds
Las Vegas has San Diego (-135) as the favorite over Arizona (+125). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish below 8.5 runs scored, then bookmakers are offering -115 odds to play the under. Picking the over will give you -105 odds. This game currently has a runline of Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170) and Padres -1.5 (+150).
The Diamondbacks are 25-24 SU and have gone 30-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.6 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season and 9.9 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 25-24 SU and 20-28 ATS. They’ve lost 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.8 units ATS. San Diego has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Neither team has been a strong over/under play this season. Padres games have an over/under record of 22-24-2 so far in 2019. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 24-22-2.
Merrill Kelly is getting the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. The right-handed Kelly (4-4, 4.21 ERA) has racked up 40 punchouts in 51.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 5.73 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).
The Padres are putting the ball in the left hand of Eric Lauer (2-4, 5.24 ERA, 1.42 WHIP), who’s got 38 strikeouts and 14 walks. Lauer is 0-2 with seven strikeouts and a 6.30 ERA across two starts against Arizona this year.
Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.88 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.80 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.53, along with a K-per-9 of 9.21.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .253/.321/.448 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
David Peralta and Eduardo Escobar have led Arizona’s hitters. Peralta is slashing .309/.357/.524 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Escobar (.274/.341/.543) has produced 11 homers, 32 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.89, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 4.03 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.6 K/9. In 26 games against divisional opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.33.
The San Diego hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .194/.251/.316 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the Padres’ offense so far. Hosmer is slashing .279/.332/.443 with seven home runs, 26 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Machado’s line is .266/.348/.452 with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 24 runs.
The Diamondbacks have gained 1.3 units and are 9-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 0.5 units and are 14-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.
Diamondbacks at Padres MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Arizona has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Diego has nine XBH over its last five.
- Arizona fielders have zero errors over the last five games, compared to three errors for San Diego over its last five.
- The Diamondbacks have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 12 over their last 10.
- The Diamondbacks have a total OPS of .769 this season and an OPS of .841 against left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .686 overall and .734 against lefties.
