The New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles in a Wednesday night game. YES Network will be televising the matchup and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (+205) is the huge home-team underdog against New York (-225) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Runline odds stand at -150 for taking the Yankees -1.5 runs and +130 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.
The Yankees are 30-17 SU and have gone 26-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 6.0 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 15-33 SU and 18-29 ATS. They’ve lost 5.0 units for moneyline bettors and 13.1 units ATS.
Orioles games have a 22-22-3 over/under record so far in 2019. New York has an over/under record of 24-21-1.
CC Sabathia will get the start for New York. The southpaw Sabathia is 2-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-1 record with a 5.14 ERA and 20 strikeouts.
The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of righty Dan Straily (1-3, 8.51 ERA), who has 16 strikeouts and 14 walks, along with a 1.89 WHIP. Straily is 0-0 with a 33.75 ERA against New York this year.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 6.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.42, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 6.12 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 25 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.07.
The Baltimore hitters have put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .222/.278/.407 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Outfielders Trey Mancini and Dwight Smith Jr. have led the Orioles’ hitters so far. Mancini is slashing .309/.356/.562 with 10 home runs, 23 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Smith Jr.’s line sits at .271/.311/.470 with eight homers, 28 RBIs and 27 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.59 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.55 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.93, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 10.98.
The Yankees offense has slashed .255/.335/.442 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is slashing .325/.368/.440 with three home runs, 23 RBIs and 29 runs scored. Torres is slashing .299/.340/.534 with 10 homers, 24 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 3.4 units and are 21-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 4.9 units and are 4-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.
Yankees at Orioles MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in only two of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Yankees have a team OPS of .777 this season and an OPS of .796 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .689 overall and .690 against righties.
- The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games SU while the Orioles have lost seven of their last eight.
- Baltimore has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.2 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
