Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins will head north to face off against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Fox Sports Detroit will be televising this interleague matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Detroit Tigers Odds
Las Vegas has Miami (+105) as the underdog to Detroit (-115). The total currently stands at 8 runs and bettors can play the over or the under for -110. This game currently has a runline of Marlins +1.5 (-200) and Tigers -1.5 (+170).
The Tigers are 18-26 straight up (SU) and 19-25 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors and 9.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, have gone 13-31 SU this year and are 18-26 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 9.8 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the season and 13.9 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Tigers games have an over/under record of 19-24-1 so far in 2019. Miami has been a decent under bet with a total record of 18-25-1.
The southpaw Caleb Smith is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Smith (3-1, 2.25 ERA) has recorded 64 strikeouts in 48 innings so far. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Tigers are sending righty Spencer Turnbull (2-3, 2.40 ERA) to the mound. Turnbull has 50 strikeouts and 20 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.25. Turnbull did not re a start against the Marlins in 2018.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.35, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 10.13.
The Marlins offense has slashed .219/.283/.312 on its way to 2.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 2.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Miami’s offense has been sparked by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .225/.269/.290 with three home runs, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .227 with two homers, 12 RBIs and seven runs scored.
For the home team, Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.58, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 5.66 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
Detroit’s hitters are putting up 3.3 runs per outing, including 2.5 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .160/.216/.288 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have paced the Tigers’ offense this year. Cabrera is hitting .291/.362/.361 with 46 hits, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while the line for Castellanos stands at .251/.304/.413 with three homers, 12 RBIs and 25 runs.
The Marlins have lost 7.3 units and are 13-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 0.4 units and are 4-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to one that went under the total.
Marlins vs. Tigers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Both offenses have logged 11 extra-base hits over their last five games.
- The Tigers have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.
- Detroit has posted 14.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 12.2 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit three home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .594 this season and an OPS of .585 against right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .655 overall and .634 against righties.
