New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Matchup

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The New York Yankees are paying a visit to Baltimore to face off against their AL East rival Orioles at Camden Yards. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and YES Network is in line to broadcast the matchup.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Vegas is listing Baltimore (+165) as the underdog to New York (-175). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. Runline odds sit at -120 for taking the Yankees -1.5 runs and +100 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.

The Orioles are only 15-31 straight up (SU) and 18-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.1 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Yankees have gone 28-17 SU this year and are 24-20 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 1.1 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 3.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Neither team has been an obvious over/under bet this year. Baltimore games have an over/under record of 21-22-2 thus far in 2019. Yankees games have gone over 22 times, gone under 21 times and pushed on one occasion.

J.A. Happ will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The southpaw Happ is 3-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 37 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 5.93 ERA against Baltimore this year (three starts).

The Orioles will be sending righty Andrew Cashner (4-2, 4.10 ERA) to the mound. Cashner has 40 strikeouts and 18 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.32. Cashner is 0-2 with 10 strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA over two starts against New York this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.20 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.96 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 23 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.75.

The Baltimore hitters have put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .204/.246/.340 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the Orioles’ hitters this year. Mancini is hitting .304/.351/.561 with 10 home runs, 21 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Villar’s line sits at .251/.305/.396 with five homers, 19 RBIs, 27 runs and nine steals.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.42 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.55 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.04, along with a K-per-9 of 11.28.

Yankees hitters have slashed .253/.333/.435 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 6.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Shortstop Gleyber Torres and second baseman DJ LeMahieu have led New York’s hitters. Torres is slashing .293/.330/.503 with eight home runs, 21 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while LeMahieu (.312/.358/.433) is up to three homers, 22 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 1.4 units and are 19-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 3.9 units and are 4-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.

Yankees vs. Orioles Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • New York has logged 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • The Yankees have a total OPS of .768 this season and an OPS of .785 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .680 overall and .690 against righties.
  • The Yankees have won five of their last six games SU while the Orioles have lost five of their last six.
  • New York has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.