The Houston Astros will be taking on the Boston Red Sox in a Saturday night game. This AL showdown will be televised across the country on Fox. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Odds
Houston (receiving -110) is favored over Boston (+100) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 11 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Astros -1.5 runs (+135) and Red Sox +1.5 runs (-155).
The Astros are 30-15 SU and have gone 24-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 2.8 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 23-21 SU and 18-25 ATS. They’ve lost 10.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS.
Boston games have had an over/under record of 26-16-1 so far in 2019. Houston has an over/under record of 21-22-1.
Corbin Martin will get the start for Houston. The right-handed Martin (1-0, 3.38 ERA) has racked up nine punchouts in 5.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Red Sox will turn to righty Hector Velazquez (1-2, 3.95 ERA), who has 22 strikeouts and 12 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.28. Velazquez did not register a start against the Astros in 2018.
As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.68, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.83 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.8 K/9.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 6.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .290/.390/.486 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Red Sox offense has been led by outfielder J.D. Martinez and third baseman Rafael Devers. Martinez is slashing .321/.401/.543 with nine home runs, 28 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Devers has produced a line of .315/.388/.444 with three homers, 22 RBIs, 29 runs and five stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 10.00 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.82, along with a K/9 of 9.74.
Astros hitters have slashed .280/.356/.508 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 7.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Outfielders George Springer and Michael Brantley have led Houston’s offense. Springer is slashing .320/.402/.663 with 17 home runs, 42 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Brantley (.324/.376/.565) is up to 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Astros have gained 1.0 units and are 16-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 1.7 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve cashed the under.
Astros vs. Red Sox MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in just one of Boston’s last seven games.
- The Astros have a team OPS of .863 this season and an OPS of .842 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .768 overall and .768 versus righties.
- The Astros have won 12 of their last 13 games SU.
- Houston has posted 27.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 31.2 over its last five.
- The Astros have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
