The New York Mets are heading south to face off against their NL East nemesis Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. SportsNet New York will be showing the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing New York (-235) as the favorite over Miami (+215). The total stands at 6.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -175 for the Mets -1.5 runs and +155 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Marlins are just 10-31 straight up (SU) and 15-26 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 17.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mets have gone 20-22 SU this year and are 22-19 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 5.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, but have gained 0.8 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Miami games have an over/under record of 17-23-1 so far in 2019. Mets games have gone over 21 times, gone under 17 times and pushed on three occasions.
Jacob deGrom will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed deGrom is 3-4 with a 3.26 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 22 strikeouts and a 0.64 ERA against Miami this year (two starts).
The Marlins will turn to righty Trevor Richards (0-5, 4.46 ERA), who has 40 strikeouts and 23 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.37. Richards is 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against New York this year.
Miami’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.38, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 5.33 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 21 games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.97 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.28.
The Miami offense is putting up 2.6 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game against divisional foes and 0.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .201/.276/.244 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the way for the Marlins’ hitters so far. Castro is hitting .226/.275/.289 with three home runs, 11 RBIs and 11 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .224/.308/.296 with 34 hits, 10 RBIs and five runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.52 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.56, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K-per-9 of 9.43.
The Mets offense has slashed .248/.328/.398 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have led New York’s offense. McNeil is slashing .354/.441/.483 with 52 hits, 14 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .277/.317/.413 with 43 hits, 24 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 3.4 units and are 16-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 11.1 units and are 11-21 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.
Mets at Marlins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- New York has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Miami has seven XBH over its last five.
- The Mets have a total OPS of .726 this season and an OPS of .724 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .589 overall and .583 against righties.
- The Marlins have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
- Miami has recorded 14.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.0 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
